Can pent-up demand save international tourism?

How Tourism Can Save Nature

This paper sets up a two-sector, two-period trade model of a developing country which is abundant in a non-renewable natural resource but scarce in industrial goods. It shows that lower future travel costs, rising demand for tourism and higher preferences for the environment slow down today’s optimal depletion of the natural resource that can be used for consumption or for exporting tourism ser...

Volatility in International Tourism Demand for Small Island Tourism Economies

Volatility in monthly international tourist arrivals is defined as the squared deviation from mean monthly international tourist arrivals. Consequently, volatility is directly related to the standard deviation, which is a common measure of financial risk. Fluctuating variations, or conditional volatility, in international monthly tourist arrivals are typically associated with unanticipated even...

The Baby Boom, "Pent-Up" Demand, and Future House Prices*

Real house prices are forecast to rise over the next two decades by about the same amount they rose over the past two decades. The longer-run positive trends in real incomes and population size and the advance of the baby boom into ages of greater effective demand for houses are forecast to raise real house prices 10%. Simulation indicates that the demand for houses, and thus the prices of hous...

Pent-up demand for surgery in the Manaus metropolitan region

Waiting lines in healthcare reflect an imbalance between the availability and the demand for medical services. This study aimed to analyze the prevalence and factors associated with the pent-up demand for surgical procedures in the Manaus metropolitan region.We performed a population-based cross-sectional study in 2015. Pent-up demand was based on self-report by the participants; those who repo...

ARMAX modelling of international tourism demand